TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gurri/Izquierdo and Domingues/Torres in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gurri/Izquierdo' if the team of Gurri/Izquierdo advances against Domingues/Torres. This market will resolve to 'Domingues/Torres' if the team of Domingues/Torres advances against Gurri/Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gurri/Izquierdo and Domingues/Torres in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gurri/Izquierdo' if the team of Gurri/Izquierdo advances against Domingues/Torres. This market will resolve to 'Domingues/Torres' if the team of Domingues/Torres advances against Gurri/Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets, particularly closer to the event, converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. However, discrepancies can still arise due to varying information sources and risk appetites.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a stronger belief in its likelihood. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Braga doubles match between Gurri/Izquierdo and Domingues/Torres. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to determine which team emerged victorious. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the sporting event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or updates related to either team’s performance in preceding matches could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket can create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.