TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dali Blanch and Max Alcala Gurri in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dali Blanch' if Dali Blanch advances against Max Alcala Gurri. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Dali Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dali Blanch and Max Alcala Gurri in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dali Blanch' if Dali Blanch advances against Max Alcala Gurri. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Dali Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market and sportsbooks disagree on the most probable result of the Dali Blanch vs Alcala Gurri match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, represents the probability that the specified outcome will occur, as determined by the traders on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Dali Blanch vs Alcala Gurri match as reported by the official governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winning one for this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, Dali Blanch or Max Alcala Gurri, such as injuries or changes in training, could significantly impact the odds. Updates on their recent performance, strategic adjustments, or even pre-match interviews revealing their mindset could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, general betting trends and public opinion regarding the match could contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Oct 12, 2026.