TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Bradford and Leyton Orient, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The event is based on the official game played within regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Bradford vs Leyton Orient professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Bradford winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bradford winning by more than 1.5 goals, Leyton Orient winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Leyton Orient winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. This can provide a valuable alternative perspective when evaluating the potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against the house. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Bradford vs Leyton Orient match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bradford or Leyton Orient would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day might affect the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public announcements or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances could contribute to price fluctuations within this market.