TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 25, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that if more people believe Santos will win, the price of contracts predicting a Santos victory will increase, and vice versa. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading, which drives the odds toward what traders perceive as the true probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Br Série A match between Santos and Bahia, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Santos or Bahia would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding team tactics, manager decisions, or even weather conditions on match day could also cause fluctuations. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price.