TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge not yet priced into the sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and market participants refine their assessments. It’s a good practice to compare both to inform your own predictions.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perceptions. The current market reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants on Limitless.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Br Série A match between Mirassol and Sao Paulo as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in player form could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can affect trading activity and, consequently, the market prices. Keep an eye on these signals as the match date approaches, as they could present opportunities to refine your predictions and adjust your positions in this market.