TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.3b
24H VOL:
$120,151,518
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,361,103,189
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,173,615,054
328,740
Markets across
32,986
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,864
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Boyaca Chico
all
2 markets
Kalshi
35%
Polymarket
36%
consensus
35.5%
spread
35-36%
(1pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 26
Vol.
$270.0
·
Resolves Aug 27, 2026
Time left: 23h:02m:04s
$
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningfulTrade on Polymarket
At 36¢ buys you 278 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $278 | Net Profit: $178 Multiplier: 2.78x | ROI: 178% | APY: N/AThis event group covers the outcome of the Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF soccer match scheduled for August 26, 2026, focusing on win/draw/loss scenarios within regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 26, 2026 between Boyacá Chicó FC and Fortaleza CEIF.
The event determines the winner of the Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for August 26, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent proceedings. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Boyaca Chico victory, Fortaleza victory, or a tie (draw). If the match concludes with either team securing a win within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same regulation period, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
On Polymarket, this market shows a strong bias toward a draw, while traditional sportsbooks often assign higher probabilities to either team winning outright. Prediction markets reflect trader sentiment in real time, incorporating factors like recent form and injuries differently than sportsbook lines, which may include house edges and broader public betting trends. The gap between 0.5 and trader-implied probabilities can highlight where quantitative models and crowd wisdom diverge. This difference often narrows as the match approaches, but until then, prediction markets may offer sharper or more nuanced insights into the Boyacá Chicó vs. Fortaleza match outcome market.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user bases drive the split. Polymarket currently favors Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-26? at 34.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Boyaca Chico at 35.0%. Differences in liquidity, fee structures, and participant demographics — such as more international or U.S.-focused traders — lead to varied pricing. Additionally, each platform’s trading volume of $48 and 24-hour volume of $0 influences how responsive odds are to new information, like lineup changes or weather updates.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the full match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score — whether a win for either side or a draw — is compared against the settled contracts, and any tied or overtime results are handled according to the standard rules for this type of market.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts affecting match conditions, and tactical announcements from coaches can all shift this market. High-impact moments like a star player being ruled out or a last-minute lineup change often trigger rapid probability adjustments, as traders reassess the balance of power. Any credible news source that alters perceived odds may cause volatility in the run-up to Aug 27, 2026.