TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Boyacá Chicó FC and Atlético Nacional, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boyacá Chicó FC" if Boyacá Chicó FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlético Nacional" if Atlético Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Boyacá Chicó FC and Atlético Nacional, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boyacá Chicó FC" if Boyacá Chicó FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlético Nacional" if Atlético Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news faster and can price tail outcomes more accurately when informed traders have strong signals. For this event, comparing the current odds on this market to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information the books have not yet adjusted for.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, where higher prices reflect greater perceived likelihood. As traders buy shares in one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a self-balancing system. The current pricing reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders, updated instantly with each new trade.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the first goal during regulation play. Once the event is confirmed through official match records or widely reported sports news, the market settles automatically and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing as traders adjust for altered competitive balance. Early match momentum, such as an early chance or a red card, can swing the market dramatically. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form streaks also influence trader positioning. Additionally, large trades from well-known or successful predictors can signal conviction and attract follow-on volume, moving prices in either direction.