TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Canelo" if Canelo Álvarez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Mbilli in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Mbilli" if Christian Mbilli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Boxing Council (WBC); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Canelo" if Canelo Álvarez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Mbilli in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Mbilli" if Christian Mbilli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "50-50." This market will resolve based on the official result announced at the conclusion of the event. Any later change to that result, including an overturn to a No Contest, will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Boxing Council (WBC); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate differing levels of information or biases. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Canelo vs. Mbilli fight.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Canelo vs. Mbilli fight as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and any pre-fight press conferences or weigh-in results could all serve as catalysts for price changes in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.