TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH)?

Volume:
$1,442,235

Bowling Green

 - Kalshi

Bowling Green - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bowling Green

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$646,588
N/A
N/A
$264,772
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH)

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami (OH)

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$677,884
N/A
N/A
$322,684
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -16.5

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 47.5

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the 2nd Half Spread for the college football game between Bowling Green and Miami (OH). Currently, the consensus probability of Miami (OH) covering a -9.5 point spread is 19.0%. This aggregate reflects trading activity from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the outcome will determine whether Miami (OH) covers the spread.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria. Kalshi offers a binary win/loss market, while Polymarket provides a wide range of spread and over/under markets.Hero tip: Carefully review the specific market description on each platform before trading. Kalshi's market is effectively a 'either team wins' market, while Polymarket's markets require predicting the specific winner or point differential.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers a binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins. This is effectively a market on the game happening.
  • Polymarket: Provides a comprehensive suite of markets including spread, over/under, and team totals, resolving based on traditional football scoring and point differentials.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Bowling Green and Miami (OH), scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bowling Green" if Bowling Green win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Bowling Green or Miami (OH) wins the college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders predicting the most likely result. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders react to news and analysis, potentially offering a more accurate signal.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might significantly shift the price there, while Kalshi might react more slowly. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information when assessing the potential outcome of the Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH) game.