TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the 2nd Half Spread for the college football game between Bowling Green and Miami (OH). Currently, the consensus probability of Miami (OH) covering a -9.5 point spread is 19.0%. This aggregate reflects trading activity from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the outcome will determine whether Miami (OH) covers the spread.
In the upcoming college football game between Bowling Green and Miami (OH), scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bowling Green" if Bowling Green win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami (OH)" if Miami (OH) win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either Bowling Green or Miami (OH) wins the college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might significantly shift the price there, while Kalshi might react more slowly. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information when assessing the potential outcome of the Bowling Green vs. Miami (OH) game.