TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether each team will exceed various point thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the official game results, with specific provisions for schedule changes.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the Bowling Green vs Buffalo college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows traders to adjust those expectations based on new information, such as injuries or weather conditions. It’s common to see differences emerge as the event approaches, with this market potentially offering a different assessment of the probabilities than traditional sports betting outlets. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Bowling Green and Buffalo team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Bowling Green and Buffalo will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the predicted totals were accurate. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team totals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Bowling Green or Buffalo would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information, such as updated team statistics or expert analyses, could lead to changes in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.