TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between two teams, offering various thresholds for victory margins. Each market will settle based on the official game result, reflecting whether the winning team exceeded a specific point margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Bowling Green vs Buffalo college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts at different price points. The price of a contract represents the probability of the spread falling within a specific range. As more traders buy contracts indicating a belief in a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the potential spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bowling Green vs Buffalo game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The exact payout amount depends on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bowling Green or Buffalo teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also lead to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.