TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Bournemouth and Sunderland. Bettors assess whether the combined offensive performance of both teams will exceed various thresholds of goals during regular time, helping gauge expectations for the match's offensive intensity and scoring potential.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Bournemouth vs Sunderland EPL match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific half-goal increments (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none are contingent on the outcomes of others. The governing rules specify that only goals scored during standard match time count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved. Trademarks and branding belong solely to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees an accurate prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Bournemouth vs Sunderland match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the specified total goals are scored.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Bournemouth vs Sunderland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The precise details of the resolution process are outlined on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bournemouth or Sunderland would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Even pre-match team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information regarding team form or motivation could move this market before Oct 18, 2026.