TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Bournemouth and Sturm Graz. It evaluates whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The resolution is based exclusively on goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. All markets resolve to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals meet or surpass their respective thresholds; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the match. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely match result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and accurate result. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals scored will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the match and official sources as the game progresses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Bournemouth or Sturm Graz would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before Oct 16, 2026.