TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bournemouth will win their professional Europa League soccer game against Milan. Currently, Kalshi gives Bournemouth a 98.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match as determined by the official scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Traders should watch the kickoff on October 22, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window and the point at which the outcome will be determined.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bournemouth vs Milan professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Bournemouth wins, the 'Bournemouth' market resolves to Yes. If Milan wins, the 'Milan' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event results, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and analysts. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may therefore show variations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event’s result. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa, dynamically adjusting probabilities based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bournemouth vs Milan match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Bournemouth or Milan would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts might also cause shifts in the market. Monitoring these factors can help understand potential price movements in this market.