TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Premier League soccer match between Bournemouth and Leeds United. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining various possible results. The event concludes based on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the margin of victory in the Bournemouth vs Leeds United EPL match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. The first scenario resolves to Yes if Bournemouth wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second scenario resolves to Yes if Bournemouth wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third scenario resolves to Yes if Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth scenario resolves to Yes if Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, and the specific threshold for each team’s victory margin determines the respective market resolution. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it's important to remember that both sources reflect differing opinions and information, and discrepancies can arise based on perceived value and risk assessment. It’s wise to compare both to inform your decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Bournemouth vs Leeds match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the likely outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score difference of the Bournemouth vs Leeds match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The spread will be determined by the difference in goals scored by each team, and this market will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bournemouth or Leeds United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news events affecting player morale or team dynamics could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.