TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers a professional soccer match in the EFL Cup between Bournemouth and Aston Villa. The outcome is determined by which team secures a victory during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
The event resolves based on the result of the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regular time result.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. Consequently, discrepancies can emerge, particularly if there's significant disagreement between the 'wisdom of the crowd' on Kalshi and the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific result happens in the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match, and it's a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Bournemouth or Aston Villa could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from prominent football commentators, can also impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches might also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their forecasts for this particular contest.