TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is determined solely by the actions of users on Limitless, and isn't influenced by external factors or a central bookmaker setting the odds. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the van de Zandschulp vs Merida Aguilar match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can quickly move the price, as traders react to and potentially amplify the initial movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.