TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$39,493

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 9:36 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,141
N/A
N/A
$8,710
Settled
No
kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,715
N/A
N/A
$10,987
Settled
No
kalshi

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,048
N/A
N/A
$4,538
Settled
No
kalshi

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,448
N/A
N/A
$1,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Botafogo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
$1,141
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

In this matchup, participants gauge whether either team will achieve a decisive victory margin. The result depends solely on the goal differential between the two sides during regular time.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the goal differential between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama in their professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The first two markets require Botafogo to win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets require Vasco da Gama to win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. If the specified condition is met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama match tracks the current price of contracts representing outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $37,796. The total volume traded on this market is $39,493. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the spread in this exciting Brazilian derby.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies as polls and analysts also weigh in on the likely result of the Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the most up-to-date information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama match.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama match as determined by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances once the resolution is complete. It’s important to monitor news and official updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Botafogo or Vasco da Gama would likely impact the price. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence market sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls and media coverage, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements in this market.