TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Botafogo and Santa Cruz FC PE. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Botafogo vs Santa Cruz FC PE professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, and excluding any goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different threshold of total goals (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold specified for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on the final goal count within regular time plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to odds that reflect a more nuanced assessment of the probability of different goal totals in the Botafogo vs Santa Cruz match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and traders update their views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of buy and sell interest. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and accurate prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Botafogo vs Santa Cruz FC PE match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Botafogo vs Santa Cruz match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the total goals scored is crucial for informed trading.