TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Botafogo and Chapecoense will score at least one goal in their upcoming Brasileiro Serie A match. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
If Botafogo and Chapecoense both score a goal in the Botafogo vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Botafogo vs Chapecoense match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively aggregating the collective forecast of the crowd. The current price reflects the market’s consensus expectation at any given moment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Botafogo and Chapecoense score at least one goal during the match. Official match data, including goals scored, will be used to determine the final result. The market will settle to 100 if both teams score, and to 0 if either team fails to find the back of the net.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Botafogo or Chapecoense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also catalysts. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger further price movements.