TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Botafogo vs Ceara
kalshi

What is the result of Botafogo vs Ceara?

Volume:
$752,712

Botafogo

 - Kalshi

Botafogo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 9:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Botafogo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363,287
N/A
N/A
$113,964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211,208
N/A
N/A
$149,255
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178,217
N/A
N/A
$101,678
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Botafogo will win their professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game against Ceara. Currently, the probability of Botafogo winning on Kalshi is 83.0%, with a 15.0% probability of a tie being the result. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the Botafogo vs Ceara game. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will be finalized following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, with resolution expected by October 13, 2026.

Kalshi

The event determines the result of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on whether Botafogo wins, Ceara wins, or the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution strictly follows the full-time result as defined by the official match conclusion, with no consideration for post-match events or administrative changes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Botafogo vs Ceara match provides real-time insights into how traders are pricing the outcome of the event. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart showcasing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $737,191. The total volume traded on this market is $752,712. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and track the flow of capital as people buy and sell contracts predicting the result of the match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and more people trade, the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from those found at traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare and contrast to identify potential discrepancies.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the event will happen) and ask to sell 'no' contracts (believing it won’t). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled between 0 and 100. As more traders participate, the buy and sell orders interact, dynamically adjusting the price until a consensus is reached. This creates a market-driven probability assessment of the Botafogo vs Ceara match outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Botafogo vs Ceara match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the losing side will receive nothing. The platform will automatically handle the payout process based on the verified result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Botafogo or Ceara would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.