TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Boston and San Jose. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the match.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Boston vs San Jose NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026, and focusing on the margin of victory. Two markets cover San Jose winning by more than 2.5 goals and more than 1.5 goals, while the other two cover Boston winning by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome of each market depends solely on the goal differential at the end of the officially recorded game.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. This is because prediction markets harness the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to a more refined assessment of probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful comparison point, and discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities in real-time. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading the Boston vs San Jose spread.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Boston vs San Jose game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the event, as any changes could influence the final outcome and the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boston or San Jose team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade the Boston vs San Jose spread.