TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—Boston or Philadelphia—will win a professional basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Currently, the probability of Philadelphia winning on Kalshi is 51.0%, while Boston winning is at 48.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Boston vs Philadelphia Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of October 16, 2026, to determine the winner.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Boston vs. Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Boston wins, the Boston market resolves to Yes, and the Philadelphia market resolves to No. Conversely, if Philadelphia wins, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes, and the Boston market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's outcome. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Boston vs Philadelphia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift the probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related contests or even weather conditions could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or coaching decisions are also likely to move the market.