TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.4b
24H VOL:
$69,520,411
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,328,568,758
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,162,611,464
307,599
Markets across
30,255
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,921
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins
- Opinion
Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins - Opinion
N/A
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
No volume data
·
Resolves Aug 26, 2026
Time left: 03d:15h:18m
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This event group covers two related markets for the Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for August 26, 2026. The first market resolves based on which team wins the game, including any extra innings, while the second market resolves based on whether the game goes into at least one extra inning.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Boston vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-26 22:40 UTC: If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader sentiment and can diverge noticeably from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their view of game length, often producing sharper or more volatile prices depending on new information and in-play dynamics.
On Kalshi and Opinion, this market is priced through separate trader pools, which can create price gaps even when the underlying question is identical. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, liquidity differences may amplify small shifts in sentiment, and each platform’s user base could weigh different factors more heavily. When one venue has deeper volume, its price may appear more stable, while thinner markets can swing wider on lower trade sizes. These dynamics often produce divergent odds across platforms until a consensus forms closer to the game.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether the game goes beyond the standard nine innings, and official score updates will lock in the final price across all platforms.
Injuries, weather forecasts, and pitcher performance updates are key signals that could shift this market before Aug 26, 2026. Any last-minute changes to the starting lineup or game conditions may alter traders’ expectations for a prolonged matchup. Additionally, betting trends on either platform can create feedback loops that move prices, especially if volume spikes on Kalshi or Opinion. All these factors will be watched closely as the game approaches, potentially shaping the final odds before resolution.