TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players will achieve certain thresholds of steals during a basketball game between Boston and Detroit. The outcomes depend on individual player performance in terms of defensive plays that result in turnovers.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record specified numbers of steals in the Boston vs Detroit Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not enter the game, markets settle at a fair price. Once a player enters the game, resolution depends on their actual steal performance. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the total number of steals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of steals in the Boston versus Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NBA game statistics will serve as the source for determining the total number of steals. Contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual number of steals falls above or below the price at which they were purchased. Traders will be able to see their final payouts shortly after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key defensive players known for generating steals on either team, would likely cause significant movement. Changes to starting lineups or playing time could also impact expectations. Unexpected news about team strategy or defensive adjustments could also shift the market. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the game, and the teams’ recent performance, can all contribute to fluctuations in price before Oct 21, 2026.