TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks various player performance thresholds in a specific basketball game, focusing on combined statistics of points, rebounds, and assists. Each market evaluates whether designated players meet or exceed certain numerical benchmarks during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by the players' on-court performance against these thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the combined points, rebounds, and assists recorded by specified players in the Boston vs Detroit Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, the market settles at a fair price. Once a player enters the game, resolution depends solely on whether their cumulative stats meet or exceed the stated threshold for that market. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as they aren’t constrained by the same business considerations as sportsbooks. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing opinions and levels of information available to each group.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, where a price of 50 represents a 50% probability of the outcome occurring, and prices above or below that indicate higher or lower probabilities, respectively.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined points, rebounds, and assists of players in the Boston Celtics versus Detroit Pistons game will be used to determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Celtics or the Pistons would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected performance from key players in recent games could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, broader basketball news, such as coaching changes or team strategy adjustments, could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions about buying or selling contracts in this market.