TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different margin-of-victory scenarios for an upcoming NHL game between Boston and Carolina. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific goal differential, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether Boston or Carolina wins the game by a specified goal margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of schedule changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations for the game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Boston Celtics versus the Carolina Hornets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the league. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual point spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is known and verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries to key players on either the Celtics or the Hornets would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the game schedule could also cause the market to react. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of contracts within this market.