TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an NHL hockey game between Boston and Anaheim. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the matchup.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Boston vs Anaheim NHL game scheduled for October 16, 2026, and each resolving based on the goal differential of the final result. Markets one and two address Anaheim’s potential victory, requiring wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals respectively, while markets three and four address Boston’s potential victory, requiring wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals respectively. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies; if the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under schedule disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. You may find that this market’s odds align with sportsbook lines, particularly as the event approaches, but divergences can occur based on unique insights or differing interpretations of available data. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities than traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Red Sox-Angels spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Boston Red Sox versus the Los Angeles Angels game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Specifically, the market will assess whether the actual spread differs from the spread offered in the market contracts. Resolution will be based on official game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. The resolution process is handled by Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Red Sox or the Angels would likely cause significant movement. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even major team performance shifts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or lineup changes could also contribute to price fluctuations. As the game day approaches, any updates related to player availability or game conditions will be closely watched by those trading in this market.