TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome of this market is determined by a men's college hockey game between Boston University and Vermont, scheduled for October 16, 2026. Resolution is contingent on the winning team, while a tie results in an equal split.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Boston University vs Vermont men's college hockey game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Boston University wins, the market for Boston University resolves to Yes; if Vermont wins, the market for Vermont resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve to 50/50. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate forecasts, particularly when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can influence trading activity in this market, as they represent a widely available source of information. It's common to see some convergence, but discrepancies often remain due to differing motivations and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. A higher volume suggests greater confidence in the current price, while wider spreads may indicate uncertainty.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Boston University versus Vermont college basketball game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Boston University or a win for Vermont—is the correct one. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Boston University or Vermont would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected coaching changes, shifts in team performance during recent games, or even changes in public perception based on sports analysts’ predictions could all impact the market. Major upsets in other college basketball games could also indirectly affect sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move the market before Oct 17, 2026.