TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:32 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 10 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for October 10 at 10:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Boston United vs. Southend match, as declared by the governing football association. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader football league news could also have an indirect effect on this market.