TOTAL VOLUME:

$111b

24H VOL:

$109,446,298

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,237,130,719

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,150,590,075

289,807

Markets across

28,328

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,582

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether a run will be scored in the first inning of the MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays. The aggregated consensus probability for no run being scored in the first inning stands at 90.0%, drawn from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus. Watch for the game on August 12 at 7:07 PM ET, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting for determining the game winner and first-inning runs.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (MLB) or a consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the winning team if a game occurs and a team wins
  • The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup date or ends in a tie
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if no makeup game is scheduled
  • Tie: Market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie
Timing: Within 24 hours after the event's conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 12 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Boston wins the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 12 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $4,433,469, and 24-hour volume of $4,233,821 across venues. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment and lets you compare how different prediction markets evaluate the contest. Tracking this market helps you spot shifts in trader confidence as the game approaches.

Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game play, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Traders will also react to any pre-game betting trends, lineup announcements and media reports that signal shifting momentum. As the game draws nearer, any last-minute updates — even minor ones — may cause noticeable price swings on platforms tracking this market.