TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player will begin the season as a starting lineup member for the Boston Pro Basketball team in their very first game of the upcoming regular season. The outcome depends entirely on the official game roster at tip-off, regardless of pre-game announcements or later roster changes.
The event resolves based on whether any of the listed players actually starts the Boston Pro Basketball team's first regular season game of the 2026-27 season and is on the floor at the opening tip-off. Each market corresponds to one specific player, and the market resolves to Yes only if that particular player fulfills both conditions: (1) they are officially listed in the starting lineup for that specific game, and (2) they are physically present and active at the time the game begins. Announcements naming a player as a starter that are later changed—for example, due to injury, coaching decisions, or other last-minute factors—result in a No outcome for that player's market. The resolution is strictly determined by the actual game-day roster and starting lineup, with no consideration given to subsequent player transactions (trades, signings, retirements) or pre-game designations that do not materialize. Each market operates independently; only the market corresponding to the actual starting player will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official starting lineup is announced and verified against credible public sources. The first regular season game provides the definitive snapshot that determines who is the opening game starter for Boston.
Injuries, coaching decisions, and player performance leading up to Oct 31, 2026 will heavily influence this market. Key catalysts include preseason announcements about rotation changes, unexpected player health updates, and strategic shifts by the Boston coaching staff. High trading volume around any breaking news could rapidly shift probabilities, especially as the regular season approaches.