TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Boston College and SMU will score together in the fourth quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. As a result, you may see discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders who can identify mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Boston College versus SMU game. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. The market efficiently incorporates information as traders react to news and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Boston College versus SMU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to view the final result and confirm their positions on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Boston College or SMU would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions that could impact scoring. Changes in team strategy or coaching decisions, or even late-breaking news about team morale, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in other games that affect conference standings or playoff implications might indirectly influence this market as well, as they could alter team motivation and performance.