TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether a team will achieve a specific point differential advantage in the final quarter of a college football game. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the fourth quarter of play, with overtime excluded from consideration. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined across the various markets.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. As the event nears, the prices here can become quite accurate, sometimes even more so than traditional sportsbook odds. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and this market operate with different incentives and information sources, leading to potential discrepancies. It’s useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 4th quarter spread will be above or below a certain point. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price represents the market’s consensus view on the likely spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Boston College versus Georgia Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which side of the spread – above or below the final contract price – is the winning outcome. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding the losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, even public sentiment and large bets from influential traders can shift the price as the game approaches, reflecting evolving expectations about the final spread.