TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game, specifically examining the point differential between the two teams. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win the quarter to settle the bet.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Boston College vs Georgia Tech college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the first quarter by exceeding the stated point margin—for example, Georgia Tech winning by more than 10.5 points or Boston College winning by more than 2.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of the full-game outcome and strictly evaluate first-quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market's pricing is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant number of traders believe one team will perform better than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts on Kalshi will shift accordingly. This can create opportunities to find value discrepancies, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees a result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate market movements. The price discovery process is entirely driven by the actions of participants on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the game’s opening quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual point spread of the first quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will receive nothing. The market’s final price will reflect the accuracy of collective predictions made before the game begins.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boston College or Georgia Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence traders’ decisions and shift the price of contracts on Kalshi before the game begins.