TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over a defined point threshold in the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover various point thresholds for both teams, allowing participants to speculate on different levels of scoring performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a team will exceed its point total, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially moving further away from the initial sportsbook line. This difference can be particularly noticeable when public perception diverges from the sportsbook's assessment, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team’s total points scored being over or under a specific threshold. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to hold one unit of that outcome, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final result. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely point totals for both Boston College and Duke.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official final team scores reported by the governing body of college basketball. The total points scored by each team will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether the actual totals exceed or fall short of the thresholds offered in the contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Boston College or Duke would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game could influence predictions about scoring potential. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.