TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Boston College and Duke, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed specific point margins. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, offering various levels of risk and potential return based on the game's outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Duke wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Duke wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Boston College wins by exceeding its specified margin, the relevant 'Boston College wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Postponements are handled by allowing the game to be played within 48 hours of its original start time, after which any unresolved game results in markets resolving to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds closely mirror those found at sportsbooks, but subtle differences can emerge. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments. This can sometimes lead to more favorable odds on Kalshi, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it's important to remember that both reflect the collective wisdom of those making predictions, and discrepancies aren’t always significant. Comparing these sources can offer a more comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Boston College-Duke game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately forecasts the final spread of the game, based on the information available to participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Boston College versus Duke football game. The market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Any overtime periods will be included in determining the final spread, and the result will be sourced from official game statistics to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Boston College or Duke teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during subsequent games could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant news regarding weather conditions expected on game day, or even public sentiment shifts reflected in polls and analyses, could impact trading activity and alter the spread. These signals are all incorporated by traders as they update their assessments of the likely outcome.