TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive plays, defensive returns, and special teams. The outcome depends entirely on the game's start and progression as scheduled.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Duke, Boston College, or neither team scoring a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—including offensive drives, defensive returns, and special teams plays—are counted toward the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for the respective team’s market. Should neither team score a touchdown at any point during the game, including overtime, the "No team" market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time; if the game does not commence within this window, the market resolves at a fair price. These rules ensure clarity across all potential game scenarios while maintaining alignment with official results.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates individual assessments. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ significantly from the opening prices here, and it’s common to see convergence as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. Buying a contract is essentially betting on that outcome, while selling a contract is betting against it. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Boston College vs Duke game. The result will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. No further information is available regarding the specifics of how the outcome is determined beyond this general verification process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Boston College or Duke would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also impact prices. Even late-breaking reports about team strategy or coaching decisions might move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments.