TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either Boston College or Duke wins the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory needed in the fourth quarter alone to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a specified point differential exceeding thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent and evaluated exclusively on 4th-quarter performance.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to discrepancies, and sometimes prediction markets prove more accurate than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the BC-Duke 4th quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of traders regarding the game's final quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Boston College versus Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Boston College or Duke teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, and any adjustments to team strategies, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts on Kalshi as people react to the unfolding game.