TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Boston College and Duke. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the first quarter by more than the stated point margin (e.g., Duke by over 10.5 points, Boston College by over 2.5 points). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these resolutions. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments based on a broader range of factors, including news, injuries, and even betting patterns. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, though the two often converge closer to game time. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a more nuanced view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on whether Duke will win by more or less than 2.5 points in the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter of the Boston College versus Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point spread achieved during the first quarter of play. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by those contracts. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be the determining factor.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Boston College or Duke would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side of the spread – could indicate informed movement and influence the price. Public perception and expert analysis leading up to the game could also contribute to changes in this market.