TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Boston College and Duke. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific period of play.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Boston College vs Duke college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each other, each evaluating a distinct scoring threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the likelihood of different outcomes. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook odds are mispriced, or vice versa, and are acting accordingly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind these predictions. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the first half of the Boston College vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams in the first half, as officially recorded by game officials. The market will determine which side of the total points line is correct, based on the official result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Boston College or Duke would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception shifts, as reflected in updated betting lines from sportsbooks, could also create movement in this market as traders react to new information.