TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature and scoring potential of the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties) exceed a specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals surpasses the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential goal total in the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing football association, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predicted goal total matches the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Poland would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed by coaches in pre-match press conferences could influence trader behavior and lead to price adjustments in this market.