TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland: Spread
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland?

Volume:
$73,868

O/U 0.5

 - Predict

O/U 0.5 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

O/U 0.5

View
65%
Yes 65¢No 35¢
—
$16,476
$9,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score

9%
47%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
—
$128
$11,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 1.5

8%
Yes 8¢No 92¢
—
$11,913
$1,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 4.5

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$95
$1,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
$1
$1,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,648
N/A
N/A
$6,426
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5

1%
50%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$162
$4,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 3.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$93
$835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 5.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$167
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 6.5

1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$165
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 8.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$128
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 7.5

1%
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$129
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-4.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$89
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Poland (-4.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$89
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Poland (-5.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Poland (-3.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$129
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Poland (-1.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$11,889
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Poland wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,197
N/A
N/A
$7,638
Settled
No
predict

Poland (-2.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$129
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Poland wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,027
N/A
N/A
$5,768
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$129
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,503
N/A
N/A
$8,150
Settled
No
predict

Bosnia and Herzegovina (-3.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This group contains multiple spread markets for the UEFA Nations League match between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland. Each market asks whether a specific team will win by a certain number of goals (e.g., -1.5, -2.5). Resolution depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets have an incorrect event date (2026) and define multiple spread markets, while Predict offers individual spread markets with a correct event date (2024).Hero tip: Prioritize trading the Predict markets due to the correct event date and standard spread betting logic. Avoid Kalshi markets due to the date discrepancy and potential for incorrect resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolution is based on the official final score from uefa.com, with win margins determining the outcome. Event date is October 5th.
  • kalshi: Defines multiple spread markets with varying win margins and incorrectly states the event date as October 5, 2026. Resolution criteria are based on win margins exceeding specified thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the margin of victory in the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland UEFA Nations League match on October 5, 2026. Bosnia and Herzegovina winning by more than 2.5 goals satisfies the first market outcome; a win by more than 1.5 goals resolves the second. Poland must win by more than 1.5 goals to meet the third criterion, and a victory margin exceeding 2.5 goals fulfills the fourth. All determinations occur after the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty decisions.

Predict

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the spread for the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $73,868, with $71,910 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions regarding the final score difference. While both platforms offer a similar market, the pricing and implied probabilities can vary. This dashboard provides a unified view of these predictions, helping you understand where the crowd stands on the likely outcome of this contest. The current spread is dynamic, reflecting real-time trading activity.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Kalshi and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing liquidity and information access. This market's price reflects what traders are willing to pay based on their own analysis, potentially offering a different perspective than a traditional sportsbook.