TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:48 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Initial sportsbook odds may heavily favor one team, but this market can reveal if there's disagreement among informed bettors. Over time, the odds on Polymarket may converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available, or they may diverge if traders have access to unique insights. It's a useful comparison for assessing where the 'true' probability lies.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 5, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Poland would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other qualifying matches or relevant sporting events might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Any significant public statements from coaches or key players could also serve as catalysts for movement in this market, as traders react to new information.