TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland?

Volume:
$2,175,778

Bosnia and Herzegovina

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$610,456
N/A
N/A
$264,625
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

BIH

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$34,923
$26,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Poland

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$585,206
N/A
N/A
$344,336
Settled
No
polymarket

Poland

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

POL

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,244
$37,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$435,470
N/A
N/A
$235,421
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,206
$19,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland, scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Bosnia and Herzegovina winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, to see if Bosnia and Herzegovina secures a victory as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets upon cancellation, while Kalshi keeps the market open.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing cancellation policies. Polymarket will resolve 'No' for a win if the game is canceled, while Kalshi will keep the market open indefinitely. This creates a potential arbitrage opportunity if you believe a cancellation is likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'. Primary source is UEFA.com.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, the markets will remain open until the game has been completed. The market resolves based on the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Poland wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland match from multiple prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $2,175,778, with $2,071,805 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, while dynamic, indicates a strong likelihood of a particular result, though opinions diverge slightly between venues. We track the probability of different outcomes as expressed by traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a comprehensive view of expectations.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion. It's often observed that prediction markets can be more accurate than sportsbooks, particularly for events with significant public interest and readily available information. However, both offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.

On Polymarket, this market is priced by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland match, while Kalshi operates with a similar mechanism but attracts a different user base. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in participants, coupled with varying liquidity and market-specific rules, can lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $2,175,778 overall—influences price discovery. Even if both platforms ultimately agree on the most likely outcome, the implied probabilities can differ due to these factors. It’s common to see these variations across different prediction market venues.