TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between Bosna Royal and BC Dubai in the ABA League. Users are predicting which team will win the game, with resolution based on the final score, including overtime. The markets account for potential postponements and cancellations.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: If the Bosna Royal win, the market will resolve to "Bosna Royal". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo wins the Dubai Basketball vs KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dubai Basketball wins the Dubai Basketball vs KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Bosna Royal vs. BC Dubai game can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence pricing. Differences in liquidity – the amount of volume available – can also lead to price variations. Furthermore, differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game among traders on each platform contribute to the observed divergence. These factors create independent price discovery processes, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the same event.