TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:30 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information and diverse viewpoints are incorporated through trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the implied probability, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessment and the market’s price.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Paderborn match, as reported by established sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should ensure they understand the event details and potential for delays in official reporting when making their predictions.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Borussia Mönchengladbach or Paderborn could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general news about team performance in recent matches, or even broader football news, can impact trading activity. A surprising result in a related match could also cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.