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$154.7b

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$279,496,801

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2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

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4,571

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5

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Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC?

Volume:
$1,279,306

Middlesbrough FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 6:53 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Middlesbrough FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$724,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Middlesbrough

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290,418
N/A
N/A
$231,537
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bolton Wanderers FC

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bolton

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,263
N/A
N/A
$35,154
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,411
N/A
N/A
$26,461
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Middlesbrough FC will win their soccer match against Bolton Wanderers FC on October 23, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Middlesbrough winning is 100.0%, while Bolton Wanderers winning has a 0.1% probability, aggregating views from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official match statistics reported by https://www.efl.com/. Keep an eye on the match result itself on October 23, 2026, to see if the outcome aligns with the strong market expectation of a Middlesbrough victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No' for win/loss markets, while Kalshi does not specify this.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a game cancellation, particularly on Kalshi where the resolution path is less defined. Polymarket offers a clearer outcome in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on official statistics, with fallbacks to Flashscore/Sofascore. Canceled games resolve to 'No' for win/loss markets. The game must be completed for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided, implying markets may remain open or resolve based on other factors.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between Bolton Wanderers FC and Middlesbrough FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Bolton vs Middlesbrough professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026: a win for Bolton, a win for Middlesbrough, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by users incentivized to predict correctly, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may initially influence the market, prediction markets can diverge as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. The current volume of $1,279,306 suggests significant interest in this event.