TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Bolton Wanderers FC and Bristol City FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Bolton Wanderers FC" if Bolton Wanderers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bristol City FC" if Bristol City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Bolton Wanderers FC and Bristol City FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Bolton Wanderers FC" if Bolton Wanderers FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bristol City FC" if Bristol City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe a specific team will score first, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dramatically than at a sportsbook. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Bolton Wanderers or Bristol City will score first. As more shares are purchased for one team, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, team form, and overall market sentiment. This creates a dynamic pricing environment where the odds continuously adjust until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which team, Bolton Wanderers or Bristol City, scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to verify the result. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football statistics and game records. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the first team to score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bolton Wanderers or Bristol City would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring a particular team's playing style. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager before the game could also move this market as traders react to the new information.