TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
In the EFL Championship encounter between Bolton and Stoke, the key question is whether both teams will find the net within the standard match duration. The resolution hinges on each side scoring at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team awarded them.
If Bolton and Stoke both score a goal in the Bolton vs Stoke EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news or shifts in public opinion regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Bolton vs Stoke match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Bolton and Stoke will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Bolton and Stoke score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the confirmed outcome, allowing traders to realize any profits or losses based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Bolton vs Stoke match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Furthermore, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could shift trader sentiment and move the market price. A late surge in betting activity on either team to score could also drive price fluctuations.